In an unexpected
journey collaboration between the Cabot Institute of University of Bristol in the UK and Rhosgobel in Middle Earth, wizard Radagast the Brown yesterday published a scientific paper on the diverse uses of climate modelling. In it, he explains that because climate models are based on scientific principles which are true regardless of location (such as fluid dynamics, chemical reactions and biological processes), “we can, in theory, use climate models to simulate any planet, real or imaginary“.
The worlds he chose to study are pre-industrial “Modern Earth“, the “Dinosaur Earth” of 65 million years ago, and “Middle Earth“, home of the elves, dwarfs, dragons and orcs. It is unclear which of the three Earths he believes to be imaginary, but one supposes it is that of the dinosaurs…
Once the scientific principles are coded in, the model still needs data input specific to each Earth to work from. While the information about Modern and Dinosaur Earth was properly sourced, Dr the Brown admits he had significant problems sourcing the relevant information for Middle Earth and has had to make a number of assumptions. For example, the entire world map including topography, ocean depths, size and soil types are extrapolated from a scant few maps he found in an old book somewhere. As ever, more research is needed.
Radagast used the model’s prediction to made some very interesting comparisons between Modern Earth and Middle Earth. It found that the Shire’s climate strongly resembled Leistershire and, interestingly, some areas of New Zealand. Mordor was shown to be more that like that of Texas or central Australia.
The paper has yet to pass the rigors of peer review, but Middle Earth wizards should not be taken for some conjurers of cheap tricks, so it ought to pass without trouble.